Dunning-Kruger effect

Ryan Hall: Solving Martial Arts from First Principles | Lex Fridman Podcast #169

Lex Fridman

A cognitive bias where people with low ability at a task overestimate their own ability. Mentioned in the context of beginners in martial arts.

#163 - Layne Norton, Ph.D.: Building muscle, losing fat, and the importance of resistance training

Peter Attia MD

A cognitive bias where people with low ability in a task overestimate their ability, while people with high ability underestimate their ability. It describes the perceived knowledge versus actual knowledge, with perceived knowledge often peaking early.

Civilization #43: The Structure of Scientific Revolutions

Predictive History

#37 – Zubin Damania, M.D.: Revolutionizing healthcare one hilariously inspiring video at a time

Peter Attia MD

A cognitive bias in which people with low ability at a task overestimate their own ability, mentioned by Zubin Damania in the context of anti-vaxxers.

#AIS: Tim Urban on political discourse + Keith Rabois on early-stage investing in 2022

All-In Podcast

A cognitive bias where people with low ability have unrealistically high confidence, while those with high ability have lower confidence, discussed in relation to political humility.

Responders, Non-Responders, and Fish Oil (Episode 61)

Stronger By Science

A cognitive bias where people with low knowledge or ability tend to overestimate their competence. The popular graphical representation is often misinterpreted as experts being less confident than novices.

Eric Weinstein: On the Nature of Good and Evil, Genius and Madness | Lex Fridman Podcast #134

Lex Fridman

A cognitive bias in which people with low ability at a task overestimate their ability, referenced in a self-deprecating manner.

Hamilton Morris — Psychedelics, Smart Drugs, and More

Tim Ferriss

A cognitive bias where less competent individuals tend to overestimate their abilities, and more competent individuals tend to underestimate theirs. Hamilton applies this to the self-assessment of smart drug efficacy.

Why People Are So Confident When They're Wrong

Veritasium

A cognitive bias where people with low ability at a task overestimate their ability. The video discusses the misinterpreted 'Mount Stupid' graph associated with it.

Tim Urban: Tribalism, Marxism, Liberalism, Social Justice, and Politics | Lex Fridman Podcast #360

Lex Fridman

A cognitive bias where people with low ability in a task overestimate their ability, often confused with the general phenomenon of confidence vs. knowledge.

Sam Harris: Trump, Pandemic, Twitter, Elon, Bret, IDW, Kanye, AI & UFOs | Lex Fridman Podcast #365

Lex Fridman

A cognitive bias in which people with limited competence in a particular domain overestimate their own expertise. Sam Harris suggests he and Lex Fridman are not the worst candidates for this effect.

The World’s Most Famous Pickpocket — Apollo Robbins | The Tim Ferriss Show

Tim Ferriss

A cognitive bias where people with low ability at a task overestimate their own ability, which Apollo Robbins associates with society's lower situational awareness and increased overconfidence.