Thinking in Bets
A book by Annie Duke, highly recommended for its probabilistic approach to decision-making, especially applicable to poker and insurance.
Common Themes
Videos Mentioning Thinking in Bets

All-In Summit: Jenny Just on Peak6, the female market correction, poker, and risk
All-In Podcast
A book by Annie Duke that discusses probabilistic thinking and making better decisions by understanding expected value and the probability of outcomes.

General Stanley McChrystal — Mastering Risk: A User’s Guide | The Tim Ferriss Show
Tim Ferriss
Book by Annie Duke that discusses decision-making under uncertainty and separating process from outcome.

Books I’ve Loved — Seth Godin and Esther Perel | The Tim Ferriss Show
Tim Ferriss
A book by Annie Duke that helps understand decision-making by differentiating between decisions and outcomes, emphasizing that a good decision doesn't always guarantee a good outcome.

Howard Marks on the US Dollar, Three Ways to Add Defense, and Good Questions | The Tim Ferriss Show
Tim Ferriss
A book by Annie Duke that frames decision-making as a series of bets, relevant to Howard Marks's probabilistic approach to investing.

Tom Gayner: Lessons That Every Investor Needs to Learn (Audio)
The Knowledge Project Podcast
A book by Annie Duke, highly recommended for its probabilistic approach to decision-making, especially applicable to poker and insurance.

206 - Exercising for longevity: strength, stability, zone 2, zone 5, and more | Peter Attia, M.D.
Peter Attia MD
A book by Annie Duke that introduced the concept of backcasting, which Peter Attia applies to his longevity training framework.