Key Moments

Why PMs are suddenly valuable again | Tulsee Doshi (Head of Product, Gemini)

Lenny's PodcastLenny's Podcast
People & Blogs6 min read59 min video
Nov 8, 2026|9,468 views|101|23
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TL;DR

Google's Head of Product for AI, Tulsee Doshi, reveals that the company's 60-20-20 framework encourages building features that are only 60% functional now, implying a need for products that can evolve with AI's rapid progress.

Key Insights

1

Google's frontier AI strategy spans from hardware to end-user products, serving billions of users across applications like Search, engineering, and cybersecurity.

2

The 60-20-20 framework suggests building products where 60% works now, 20% is nearly working, and 20% is experimental, acknowledging that AI models are not fully predictable.

3

AI safety is addressed through monitoring, ensuring model alignment with directives, and leveraging AI to enhance cybersecurity systems, as seen with Gemini 4's partnership with security experts.

4

Product managers in frontier AI labs are sought for their 'flair' for models, daily interaction, and personal use cases to assess model capabilities.

5

To combat AI-generated content overload, Doshi suggests being intentional about where AI assists in content creation (e.g., data analysis) versus human insight (e.g., strategic vision).

6

Tulsee Doshi's personal philosophy emphasizes actively seeking 'serendipity' by stepping outside comfort zones and embracing new experiences to foster luck and innovation.

The unpredictable nature of AI model development

Tulsee Doshi, Head of Product for Google's frontier AI models like Gemini, likens AI development to "Snape's potions class," where adding ingredients doesn't guarantee a predictable outcome. While researchers set goals for models, the final capabilities can be surprising and unique. Product managers must not only shape the input but also identify and amplify emergent strengths. This unpredictability means that the path to advancing AI is not purely scientific but also requires an element of intuition and adaptation. While there's ongoing research to make aspects predictable, understanding the 'character' and 'flair' of a model as it emerges is crucial for product development. This involves observing metrics, understanding how capabilities manifest in final products, and assessing the model's perceived personality. This iterative learning process allows for continuous improvement and discovery of new capabilities.

Google's full-stack AI strategy

Doshi outlines Google's comprehensive strategy in the AI race, emphasizing a full-stack approach that covers hardware, foundational models, and end-user products. With 14 products already serving over a billion users, Google aims to build leading models across the cost-quality Pareto curve. This means developing models that serve diverse use cases, from quick information retrieval for search users to complex tasks for cybersecurity professionals. The goal is not just to have the most advanced model but to create a broad range of experiences that improve users' lives. This approach allows Google to innovate across different levels, leveraging its vast ecosystem to deploy AI effectively and meet the needs of billions.

The 60-20-20 framework for product development

Challenging traditional startup wisdom of building a Minimum Viable Product (MVP), Doshi introduces the 60-20-20 framework for AI product development. This approach advocates for building features where 60% works well today, 20% is 'almost working' or functional enough, and 20% is experimental or aspirational. The rationale is that AI models are constantly evolving, so building features that are only partially functional now prepares products for future advancements. By incorporating elements that are not yet perfect but show promise, teams can create products that are functional today and can deliver a 'magical experience' as models improve. This forward-looking strategy helps products grow alongside AI capabilities, rather than becoming obsolete.

Balancing innovation with user experience

The rapid pace of AI development presents a challenge in balancing the release of cutting-edge features with maintaining a user-friendly experience. Doshi highlights the need for new interaction models and user experiences for AI. For example, products like Genie and Veo (now Omni) are being designed with specific use cases like video and music editing in mind, exploring diverse form factors. However, for mass-market products like AI in Search, accessibility for billions of users is paramount, requiring a tailored user experience. Conversely, professional tools may need to support complex commands and integrations. Ultimately, the ideal user experience depends on the target audience, ranging from broadly accessible interfaces to highly technical environments.

The rising value of product managers in AI

Doshi observes a resurgence in the value of product managers (PMs), especially in frontier AI. As building becomes easier, the skill of identifying *what* is worth building, *why* it's worth solving, and *how* to unify teams behind a vision becomes critical. Good PMs can discern the 'essence' from the 'noise,' turning AI's potential into valuable user experiences. In fast-paced environments like Google, PMs are essential for structuring chaos and bringing clarity. Doshi specifically seeks PMs who understand the 'flair' of AI models, engage with them daily, and develop personal use cases to rigorously test their capabilities. Technical aptitude, the ability to dive into data, and a flexible, adaptive mindset are crucial given the field's rapid evolution. Resilience and the capacity to constantly re-evaluate roadmaps are key.

AI safety and Google's approach

Doshi emphasizes the critical role of AI safety, drawing on her six years leading Google's Responsible AI product team. She highlights the importance of monitoring systems that can track a model's 'chain of thought' to detect and address misalignments. This provides confidence in deployment and helps refine models. Furthermore, AI can actively enhance safety by identifying vulnerabilities in global systems. Gemini 4, for instance, partners with cybersecurity experts to find and fix security flaws, as demonstrated by a case where AI helped secure a hospital system. Doshi believes optimism for AI safety stems from continuous, cautious, and intentional thought processes, acknowledging the need for diligence and questioning in model development.

Developing and evaluating AI models

The process of creating and evaluating AI models is complex, involving both scientific rigor and an understanding of emergent properties. Doshi stresses the importance of building intuition for models, suggesting PMs test them daily with personal use cases. She advises starting AI evaluations with a small set of prompts (around 20) to test various capabilities and understand differences between models. Beyond structured evaluations, developing 'impressions' of a model's improvement involves testing them in areas of personal interest, whether it's creative writing, visual aesthetics, or complex analysis. Doshi also shares her experience improving skin tone representation by collaborating with Professor Monk, moving from a six-point Fitzpatrick scale to a more nuanced ten-point scale, enhancing accuracy in products like Pixel cameras and image generation.

The role of AI in enhancing productivity and preventing burnout

Doshi acknowledges the feeling of 'doing more' with AI, but also the risk of burnout. She believes burnout stems from chaos and unenjoyable work, not just long hours. AI tools, if implemented well, can reduce drudgery and free up time for strategic thinking and creativity. The key is to focus on tasks that are meaningful and engaging. Doshi highlights the importance of building trust in AI tools and fostering a culture where team members share skills and knowledge. This includes dedicating time for experimentation, such as internal workshops. She also touches on 'AI waste,' advocating for intentional use of AI, leveraging it for data analysis and reporting while reserving human insight for strategy and creative work. The goal is to use AI to augment, not overwhelm, human capabilities.

AI Product Development and Management Guide

Practical takeaways from this episode

Do This

Understand the 'soul' of AI models and develop your own perspective by interacting with them daily.
Build features that may not work perfectly today but show promise for future AI model capabilities (60% functional, 20% good enough, 20% aspirational).
Continuously evaluate and adapt your product roadmap as AI models evolve rapidly.
Focus on building 'flash teams' of AI agents that can be efficiently assembled and disassembled for specific tasks.
Integrate user experience considerations directly into the AI model development process.
Develop your product management skills in 'character' (understanding model nuances), 'evaluation' (rigorous testing), and 'flexibility' (adaptability).
Allocate dedicated time and space for your team to experiment with new AI tools and build technical skills.
Embed a pause between stimulus and response to ask: 'Can AI do this for me?'
Leverage AI for data analysis and post-launch documentation, focusing human effort on insight and creative thinking.
Ensure AI-generated content is useful and clearly distinguished from human-generated insight.

Avoid This

Don't expect AI models to be perfectly predictable; embrace the 'magic' and surprise.
Don't build rigid systems that are tied to previous model versions; prioritize adaptability.
Don't forget to periodically review and potentially discard existing technical solutions as AI models advance.
Don't rely solely on written requirements; give weight to the 'how' of product realization.
Avoid relying on generic, AI-generated documentation; focus on human insight and valuable data analysis.
Don't fall into the trap of endless work just because AI enables more; focus on sustainable and enjoyable work.

Common Questions

Google takes a holistic approach, covering everything from hardware to end-user products, aiming to build models across the Pareto curve for cost-vs-quality. They focus on creating a diverse range of experiences and ensuring their models serve various user needs, from search to cybersecurity.

Topics

Mentioned in this video

Software & Apps
Laia

A generative media model from Google focused on music generation.

Google Calendar

A Google service that collects user data, leveraged by AI assistants.

Gemini

A frontier model from Google that the guest works on, mentioned as an example of Google's advanced AI capabilities.

Cursor

Mentioned as a successful company using WorkOS.

Google Docs

A Google service that collects user data, often used by AI assistants.

Instinct

An AI assistant that reportedly leverages user data, mentioned in the context of Google's lack of a comparable product.

Nano Banana

A generative media model from Google focused on video and image editing/generation.

Spark

An AI product mentioned as potentially aiming to leverage user data, in the context of Google's offerings.

Rampler

A feature within Gipboard on Pixel phones that is highly recommended for mobile typing.

Gema

Google's set of open models, part of the generative media model suite.

NotebookLM

An example of a different form factor for interacting with AI models.

Rockbot

An AI assistant that reportedly leverages user data, mentioned in the context of Google's lack of a comparable product.

AI Studio

A Google tool that some users find difficult to locate, indicating a challenge in product discoverability.

Colab Code

Mentioned as an example of a product becoming increasingly complex, similar to Codex ChatGPT.

Grok

An AI assistant mentioned as being used by the speaker to automate tasks and build workflows.

Lennie's Newsletter

The podcast's newsletter, offering a free year of WhisperFlow to subscribers.

Gipboard

A keyboard feature on Pixel phones that offers excellent mobile typing, including a feature called 'Rampler'.

WhisperFlow

An AI product that the guest finds transformative for writing due to wrist issues, functioning as a voice-to-text tool.

Replit

Mentioned as a successful company using WorkOS.

ChatGPT

Mentioned as an example of AI product complexity, with its interface becoming overwhelming with tabs, dropdowns, and points.

Clay

Mentioned as a successful company using WorkOS.

Gmail

A Google service that collects user data, which is often leveraged by AI assistants.

Genie

A Google tool or service that some users find difficult to locate.

Omni

A product being built by Google under the name Omni, related to generative media capabilities.

Dots

An AI assistant that reportedly leverages user data, mentioned in the context of Google's lack of a comparable product.

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