Philip Tetlock
scientific article published on 17 June 2016
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Videos Mentioning Philip Tetlock
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American psychologist who studied forecasters, finding that high-reputation forecasters often make the worst predictions due to ego getting in the way of adapting their models.
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An expert on prediction and superforecasters, who Tyler Cowen plans to interview for his podcast, requiring him to focus on these topics.
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A researcher at the University of Pennsylvania known for his work on forecasting tournaments and the concept of 'super forecasters'.
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Author of 'Superforecasting', whose confidence interval game is used to illustrate challenges in probabilistic thinking.