Key Moments

Andy Bromberg - Startup Investor School Day 4

Y CombinatorY Combinator
Science & Technology3 min read60 min video
Mar 9, 2018|5,527 views|51|1
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TL;DR

Explores the evolution of early-stage investing, from VC history to ICOs and future trends.

Key Insights

1

Early-stage investing has evolved significantly, driven by decreasing costs to start companies and invest, and a constant push for liquidity.

2

The history of venture capital shows cycles of boom and bust, influenced by institutional capital, technological advancements, and market conditions.

3

Democratization of investing is a key trend, seen in the rise of angel investors, crowdfunding platforms, convertible notes, SAFEs, and ICOs.

4

ICOs represent a radical shift, enabling global, often pseudonymous fundraising, with a focus on network tokens rather than company equity.

5

The future of early-stage investing likely involves continued emphasis on liquidity, lower costs, increased platform use, and evolving hybrid structures like equity and tokens.

6

Understanding historical trends in venture capital provides valuable context for navigating the current and future landscape of startup funding, including emerging markets like cryptocurrency.

HISTORICAL TRENDS SHAPING EARLY-STAGE INVESTING

The landscape of early-stage investing has been shaped by several enduring trends over its approximately 70-80 year history. These include a consistent decrease in the cost required to launch a startup and, conversely, a lowering of the barrier to entry for investors. Furthermore, the market has continually trended towards increased liquidity, allowing investors to realize returns more quickly. These forces collectively contribute to a significant expansion of available capital for startups, fostering a more dynamic ecosystem.

THE FOUNDATION OF VENTURE CAPITAL (1940S-1960S)

The formalization of venture capital began in the 1940s and 1950s with the emergence of early firms like Jate Whitney & Co. and ARDC, which notably saw a substantial return on its investment in Digital Equipment Corporation. Government legislation, such as the Small Business Investment Company (SBIC) program in 1958, further stimulated the industry by providing leverage for funds. This era also saw the introduction of the two-and-twenty management fee and carry structure and required significant principal, friends, and family investment before venture funds would engage, reflecting a high barrier to entry.

EXPANSION AND THE RISE OF ANGELS (1970S-1980S)

The 1970s witnessed the founding of more recognizable venture capital firms and the emergence of technology-focused angel investors, a concept originating from theater funding. Institutional capital, including endowments and corporations, began investing in venture capital for the first time, classifying it as an alternative asset. This influx of capital continued into the 1980s, fueling a boom in the number of venture funds. However, the 1980s also saw increased competition for deals, forcing funds to invest earlier and navigate a more volatile market with fluctuating IPO activity.

THE DOT-COM BOOM AND RECOVERY (1990S-2000S)

The 1990s experienced a massive surge in capital availability, with venture capital AUM growing exponentially. Companies were funded based on the potential for quick public offerings, leading to shorter liquidity cycles and increased fund carry. Following the dot-com bust, the early 2000s saw a cooling-off period with more moderate investment and returns. This era also marked the beginning of new funding models, with Y Combinator and Techstars emerging as accelerators, and the increasing importance of convertible notes, standardized by YC, for smoother early-stage fundraising.

DEMOCRATIZATION AND NEW FUNDRAISING MECHANISMS (2010S)

The 2010s brought further democratization through platforms like AngelList and crowdfunding sites, making it easier for both startups to raise capital and for individuals to invest. The JOBS Act of 2012 was a pivotal legislative change, introducing general solicitation (506(c) offerings) and paving the way for equity crowdfunding (Reg CF). Y Combinator's introduction of the SAFE (Simple Agreement for Future Equity) further simplified early-stage investing by offering a streamlined, debt-free convertible structure, becoming a dominant instrument.

THE ICO REVOLUTION AND THE FUTURE OF INVESTING

The latter half of the 2010s saw the explosive rise of Initial Coin Offerings (ICOs), enabling companies to raise significant amounts globally without direct investor meetings, fundamentally altering the fundraising process. ICOs involve investing in network tokens rather than company equity, introducing unique considerations for governance, valuation, and liquidity. While ICOs offer instant liquidity, they also present risks and regulatory uncertainties. The future of early-stage investing is expected to continue towards greater liquidity, lower costs, increased platform reliance, and potentially hybrid structures combining equity and token investments.

Common Questions

Key trends include decreasing costs to start companies, a lower cost and barrier to entry for investors, and a market arc bending towards faster liquidity. There's also a continuous increase in available capital for startups.

Topics

Mentioned in this video

Companies
Yahoo

Cited as a major company built by software founders, highlighting the significance of software engineers in company creation.

Fairchild Semiconductor

One of the first Silicon Valley companies, founded around the 1950s.

KP

A venture capital firm founded in the 1970s, with an initial fund size of $5 million.

Tandem

A computer company founded in the 1970s/early 1980s.

Lowercase

A venture capital firm mentioned in the context of super angels and micro VCs emerging in the mid to late 2000s.

Google

Cited as a major company built by software founders, highlighting the significance of software engineers in company creation.

Digital Equipment Corporation

A company in which A RDC invested, yielding a significant return (500x in 11 years), marking one of the first recognizable venture wins.

Greylock

One of the early venture capital firms founded around the 1950s.

CRV

A venture capital firm founded in the 1970s, with an initial fund size of $5 million.

Sequoia

A venture capital firm founded in the 1970s.

Facebook

Cited as a major company built by software founders, highlighting the significance of software engineers in company creation.

Genentech

A biotechnology company founded in the 1970s/early 1980s.

SV Angel

A venture capital firm mentioned in the context of super angels and micro VCs emerging in the mid to late 2000s.

AngelList

A platform that emerged in the 2010s, making it easier for investors to connect with and invest in startups, democratizing the process.

Protocol Labs

The creator of Filecoin, a YC company that partnered with AngelList to run the first sale on CoinList.

Apple

A major technology company founded in the 1970s/early 1980s.

Cray

A supercomputer company founded in the 1970s/early 1980s.

Microsoft

Cited as a major company built by software founders, highlighting the significance of software engineers in company creation.

Netflix

Cited as a major company built by software founders, highlighting the significance of software engineers in company creation.

Sutter Hill

One of the early venture capital firms founded around the 1950s.

First Round Capital

A venture capital firm that gained prominence in the mid to late 2000s, providing early capital to startups.

Mayfield

A venture capital firm founded in the 1970s.

Amazon

Cited as a major company built by software founders, highlighting the significance of software engineers in company creation.

CoinList

A platform for digital asset companies' token sales and a source for investors to find high-quality deals.

Venrock

One of the early venture capital firms founded around the 1950s.

Compaq

A computer company founded in the 1970s/early 1980s.

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