Key Moments

Analyzing Billions of Transactions to Understand Consumer Behavior - Michael Babineau and Kevin Hale

Y CombinatorY Combinator
Science & Technology4 min read56 min video
May 29, 2019|8,355 views|135|9
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TL;DR

Second Measure uses credit card data to reveal consumer behavior insights for investors and companies.

Key Insights

1

Second Measure analyzes billions of credit card transactions to provide real-time consumer behavior insights.

2

The company initially focused on helping investors make better decisions but expanded to serve corporate clients.

3

The core problem Second Measure solves is enabling non-coders (analysts, designers) to answer behavioral data questions.

4

Credit card transaction data is messy and unstructured, requiring sophisticated cleaning and analysis pipelines.

5

Second Measure's platform helps companies with competitive intelligence, benchmarking, and understanding customer lifetime value.

6

The company leverages a strong statistical foundation and first-principles thinking in its data science hiring and development.

ORIGINS OF SECOND MEASURE

Michael Babineau, co-founder and CEO of Second Measure, shares the company's origin story, stemming from a friend's struggle to load two terabytes of data into Excel for a hedge fund. This highlighted a significant gap: many investment firms lack in-house technical expertise for data analysis. The initial idea was to leverage credit card data to aid investor decisions, a concept that has evolved to include serving companies as well. The company realized that investors seek an information edge, often looking for leading indicators in unconventional data sources.

FROM GAMING ANALYTICS TO FINANCIAL INSIGHTS

Babineau and his co-founder, Lillian, came from a background in video games, where they built high-scale infrastructure and data analytics pipelines. They optimized online games by tracking player behavior, such as progression through levels. This experience demonstrated how to build tools that empower non-technical users (like game designers) to answer their own questions. This pattern of empowering users with data analytics tools was recognized as transferable to the investment space, where analysts also need to answer complex questions about company performance and consumer behavior.

THE VALUE OF TRANSACTIONAL DATA

The key data set Second Measure utilizes is credit card transaction data. While valuable for understanding consumer trends, it's notoriously messy and unstructured. Investors are particularly interested in this data because it offers direct, real-time insights into company performance, unlike traditional quarterly reports. For instance, it can reveal the immediate impact of events like Chipotle's food safety issues on its revenue, providing an advantage over slow and expensive survey methods.

BUILDING THE ANALYTICS PLATFORM

Second Measure's core offering is an analytics platform that allows users to answer their own questions regarding US consumer spending. The company focuses on problems that investors and corporations face daily, such as competitive intelligence and benchmarking. This includes metrics like relative market share, customer retention, and lifetime sales. They also explore consumer behavior, helping businesses understand who their customers are and where else they spend their money.

ADDRESSING DATA MESSINESS AND BIAS

A significant challenge is the inherent messiness of credit card data, with numerous variations in merchant names due to character limits and processing inconsistencies. Second Measure employs machine-based approaches and sophisticated entity resolution to map these diverse descriptions to singular merchants. They also address data bias by constructing a representative sample of US consumers and applying corrections to ensure their findings reflect the broader population, creating a robust data pipeline and a specialized analytics platform.

EXPANDING TO CORPORATE CLIENTS AND SALES

Initially focused on investors, Second Measure expanded to serve corporations by applying the 'jobs to be done' theory. They realized that understanding company performance is a critical need for businesses assessing competitors. This expansion was significantly aided by venture capital clients who brought Second Measure's product into their portfolio company boardrooms, creating inbound interest. The company has achieved substantial growth primarily through inbound leads and a viral spread of its value proposition.

PARTNERSHIPS AND FUTURE DEVELOPMENT

Recent funding rounds have seen participation from major financial institutions like Goldman Sachs and Citi, positioning Second Measure as a key player in the alternative data space. These partners are interested in the company's ability to process and analyze transactional data. For the investment audience, the strategy is to provide a tool that empowers users to ask better questions, maintaining an edge even as more clients gain access. For corporate clients, the product is becoming essential for competitive analysis, akin to tools like Bloomberg.

ATTRACTING TOP DATA SCIENCE TALENT

Second Measure emphasizes hiring individuals with strong quantitative backgrounds and a scientist's mindset, often with advanced degrees in diverse scientific fields. They prioritize fundamental statistical understanding over tool proficiency, believing that core mathematical skills are essential for tackling complex, novel problems in data analysis. The hiring process includes open-ended data challenges designed to assess a candidate's ability to identify assumptions, query data diligently, and navigate ambiguity.

Common Questions

Second Measure provides an analytics platform that allows investors and companies to analyze billions of consumer transactions to understand consumer behavior, market trends, and competitive landscapes, overcoming the limitations of traditional data sources.

Topics

Mentioned in this video

Companies
Y Combinator

Incubator program where the founders met and developed their initial idea.

Electronic Arts

The video game company where the co-founders met.

Chipotle

Used as a case study for investors wanting to understand the impact of events like food poisoning on revenue.

Lyft

Cited as an example of a company whose consumer spending data is visible and valuable for analysis.

Gobble

Cited as an example of a company whose consumer spending data is visible and valuable for analysis.

Bird

Used as an example in a VC diligence scenario for scooter-sharing companies.

Lime

Used as an example in a VC diligence scenario for scooter-sharing companies, compared against Bird.

Stitch Fix

Used as a case study to analyze customer spending behavior and its impact on department store sales.

Mint

A personal finance tool that struggles with normalizing credit card transaction data, used as an example of the problem Second Measure solves.

Goldman Sachs

Co-led the Series A funding round and is an investor, noted for their push into alternative data.

Citi

Participated in the Series A funding round, noted for having significant transactional data.

Jefferies

Led the seed round of funding for Second Measure, an investment bank known for its connections.

Zynga

Mentioned as an example of a data-driven video game company that optimized its games.

Uber

Cited as an example of a company whose consumer spending data is visible and valuable for analysis.

Blue Apron

Used as an example of a company that can have multiple representations in transaction data, including a potential grocery store.

Peloton

Mentioned in the context of brand competition, specifically its rise compared to SoulCycle.

SoulCycle

Mentioned in the context of brand competition, specifically its decline relative to Peloton.

United Airlines

Used as an example of a company that can have multiple representations in transaction data, including a potential grocery store.

Amazon

Discussed in relation to Amazon Prime member behavior and its increasing reliance on subscription revenue.

Bessemer Venture Partners

Led the Series A funding round for Second Measure.

Bloomberg

Used as an analogy for a tool that becomes 'table stakes' and essential for professionals, similar to how Second Measure could become.

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