Key Moments

Morgan Housel — Contrarian Money and Writing Advice, Three Simple Goals to Guide Your Life, and More

Tim FerrissTim Ferriss
Howto & Style4 min read131 min video
Oct 31, 2023|151,586 views|2,755|121
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TL;DR

Morgan Housel discusses constancy in human behavior, contrasting with predictions of change, and shares insights on money, writing, and life.

Key Insights

1

Focusing on unchanging aspects of human behavior (like greed and fear) is more effective for understanding the future than predicting change.

2

Achieving wealth is less valuable if it comes with significant 'social debt' or the pressure to impress others.

3

True contentment with wealth is possible, but it doesn't necessarily equate to happiness; money amplifies existing dispositions.

4

Effective writing stems from genuine internal need and clarity of thought, not forcing ideas onto paper.

5

Life's significant moments often hinge on seemingly small, random decisions, highlighting life's fragility.

6

Sustainable success involves choosing the right 'game' and playing it for the long term, rather than maximizing short-term gains.

THE POWER OF WHAT STAYS THE SAME

Morgan Housel introduces his new book, 'Same As Ever,' inspired by Warren Buffett's anecdote about Snickers bars remaining bestsellers through decades of economic change. This highlights Housel's core thesis: predicting the future is challenging because people focus on what changes, while true insight comes from understanding enduring aspects of human behavior and societal patterns, which have remained constant for centuries.

WRITING AS INTROSPECTION AND NECESSITY

Housel emphasizes that impactful writing, for him, arises from an internal compulsion rather than external pressure. He likens it to Jason Zweig's advice that one should only write a book if they 'have to.' This process involves wrestling with ideas until they demand to be written, often facilitated by movement and thinking rather than sitting at a desk. This intrinsic motivation is key to avoiding 'garbage' writing and producing meaningful work.

RICH AND ANONYMOUS: BALANCING WEALTH AND SOCIAL DEBT

The concept of 'social debt' is introduced, explaining that with wealth comes an obligation to one's social circle. Housel uses the example of NBA athletes going bankrupt not from personal extravagance, but from supporting extended family. He posits that the ideal state is 'rich and anonymous,' a state achieved by a family he observed who intentionally avoided public attention to maintain normalcy and protect their children from the distorting effects of wealth and recognition.

RAISING CHILDREN AND THE VALUE OF LESS

Housel argues that giving children less money is crucial for their development, reframing it as preserving their opportunity to earn and be self-dependent. He uses his own childhood and lessons from investor Shelby Davis, who refused to 'rob' his grandchildren of the opportunity to earn, as examples. This approach fosters self-reliance and prevents the entitlement that can arise from unearned abundance, likening excessive pampering to hindering a child's ability to learn basic skills.

MONEY, HAPPINESS, AND CONTENTMENT

While money rarely buys happiness, Housel suggests it can buy contentment. Happiness is described as peak joy, while contentment is the absence of anxiety and satisfaction with one's life. He illustrates this with the example of J. Paul Getty, who was rich but deeply unhappy. Money amplifies existing states; it makes happy people happier and depressed people more so, but it doesn't cure fundamental unhappiness. It's better to start with a baseline of happiness for money to enhance it.

THE DELUSION OF CONTROL AND LIFE'S FRAGILITY

A near-fatal avalanche experience serving as a stark reminder of life's fragility and the profound impact of seemingly minor decisions. Housel emphasizes that success is often a result of chance and unforeseen circumstances, not solely calculated choices. This perspective encourages humility and a recognition that our control over life's outcomes is limited, urging a focus on behaviors and mindsets that allow one to navigate inevitable uncertainty.

INCENTIVES, OBSCURITY, AND SHIFTING PERSPECTIVES

Housel explores how incentives shape our views and actions, citing examples like support for Hitler in Germany or El Chapo in Mexico due to dire economic conditions. He also touches on the unappreciated value of not needing to impress others as a key financial asset. His insightful questions prompt listeners to consider what they might be ignoring, how incentives influence their beliefs, and what unsustainable aspects of success they might be trying to avoid.

THE ENDURING POWER OF TEXT AND THE RISE OF AUDIO

Housel observes a significant shift towards audio content, noting that audiobook sales can outpace physical books. He attributes this to reading being a difficult task for many, while listening is more accessible, especially in an attention-scarce economy. While acknowledging the growing dominance of audio, he maintains a personal preference for text, highlighting its ease of rereading and deeper absorption, and reiterates his identity as a writer.

SUSTAINABILITY OVER PEAK PERFORMANCE

Housel advocates for living life at 80-90% of potential to ensure sustainability in careers, relationships, and strategies. He differentiates this from striving for 100%, which often leads to burnout. This philosophy is applied to his personal career choices, noting that he often steps away from fields when they become overly competitive or change in ways that no longer suit his sustainable approach, prioritizing longevity and consistent engagement over short-term, unsustainable gains.

LIVING WITH CONSTANCY AND EMPHASIS ON BEHAVIOR

Housel concludes by reinforcing that true wisdom lies in adopting behaviors that allow one to absorb life's unpredictable events, rather than trying to forecast them. He likens this to viewing life from a '30,000-foot' perspective, focusing on broad, macro-level behaviors. The goal is to achieve equanimity by accepting that some things are unknowable and focusing on understanding the enduring human reactions that guide our world.

Common Questions

Warren Buffett's 'Snickers' lesson highlights the importance of focusing on things that remain constant over time, like human behavior (greed and fear), rather than trying to predict what will change. He used the example of the Snickers bar being a bestseller in both 1962 and the present day to illustrate enduring appeal.

Topics

Mentioned in this video

People
Brent Borrell

Friend cited for his philosophy on marriage: if both spouses desire to serve each other without expectation, the relationship thrives.

Will Smith

Cited regarding his biography, where he noted that being rich and depressed removed the hope that money would fix his problems.

Robert Caro

Described as the greatest and most thorough biographer, known for his decades-long research, meticulous approach, and motto 'turn every page.'

Eleanor Roosevelt

Wife of FDR, featured in 'No Ordinary Time' and quoted for her wisdom on accepting uncertainty at age 60.

Matt Levine

An author whose success is highlighted as proof that text content still works and travels effectively.

Winston Churchill

Used as an example of a public figure with many biographies, highlighting how difficult it is to find a unique angle.

Walter Isaacson

Biographer of Elon Musk, who interviewed Musk's first wife, Justine.

Tim Urban

Mentioned for his quote about how terrifying it would be to realize tiny decisions can completely change one's life.

Charlie Rose

Interviewer who questioned David McCullough about the criticality of the wind change during the Revolutionary War.

Benjamin Roth

A lawyer who kept a detailed diary during the Great Depression, later published as 'The Great Depression: A Diary'.

Donald Trump

Described as a different person in early 1980s interviews, calm and measured, before reaching immense fame and wealth.

George Carlin

Comedian and 'Bonafide genius' noted for his understanding of human behavior.

Francis Perkins

Eyewitness to the Triangle Fire who dedicated her life to worker rights, becoming FDR's Secretary of Labor and the first female cabinet member.

Warren Buffett

A renowned investor, known for betting on things that stay the same forever, illustrated by his Snickers candy bar anecdote.

El Chapo

A ruthless drug lord who gained support from local Mexican communities by providing aid and infrastructure, illustrating the power of incentives.

Joe Rogan

Used as an example of someone who might be an excellent speaker but not necessarily a good writer, highlighting the difference in skills.

Naval Ravikant

Cited for his quote about focusing on what would be true in 999 out of a thousand iterations of one's life.

Donald Knuth

Mentioned for his decision to stop using email, to get to the 'bottom of things' rather than stay on top.

George Washington

Commander of the Continental Army, whose survival at the Battle of Long Island was attributed to a chance change in wind direction.

Justin Bieber

Cited as an example of a celebrity whose fame allows him to wear anything without losing admiration, reinforcing not needing to impress visually.

Ken Burns

Documentary filmmaker skilled at storytelling with known information, contrasted with Robert Caro's skill in uncovering new facts.

Shelby Davis

A billionaire investor from the 1980s who refused to give inheritance to his grandchildren, believing it would rob them of earning their own income.

Bill Burr

Comedian noted as a 'genius' for his understanding of human behavior.

Franklin D. Roosevelt

US President, whose Secretary of Labor, Francis Perkins, was influenced by the Triangle Fire; also profiled in 'No Ordinary Day' for his stress management during WWII.

Adolf Hitler

Discussed in the context of how economic incentives (promises of jobs, wealth) led a desperate German population to support him.

Charlie Munger

Berkshire Hathaway Vice Chairman, praised for his wisdom and succinctness, but also noted for his brusque communication style.

J. Paul Getty

Former richest man in the world, depicted as morose despite his wealth, envying those happier than him, illustrating money's limited impact on happiness.

Jason Zweig

A great friend and mentor from The Wall Street Journal who advised only to write a book if one 'has to do it'.

Louis C.K.

Comedian mentioned as an example of someone who gains admiration through humor and wisdom, not external displays of wealth or physical appearance.

Doris Kearns Goodwin

Author of 'No Ordinary Day,' praised for her remarkable historical writing and thoroughness.

Elon Musk

His biography and first wife, Justine, are mentioned, highlighting how money and fame changed his personality, and his tears over sacrificing family time for work.

Lyndon Johnson

Former US President and subject of an extensive biography by Robert Caro, whose chauffeur provided rare insights through Caro's persistent interviewing.

Chris Davis

Grandson of Shelby Davis, who did not receive an inheritance, aligning with his grandfather's philosophy of self-reliance.

Donald Crowhurst

An amateur sailor who faked a solo round-the-world race, ending in fraud, mental instability, and apparent suicide, driven by an obsession with respect and admiration.

Morgan Housel

Repeat guest on the Tim Ferriss Show, partner at The Collaborative Fund, author of 'The Psychology of Money' and 'Same As Ever.'

Kurt Vonnegut

Author mentioned for his distinction between 'swoopers' (vomit first draft) and 'plotters' (line-by-line perfectionists) in writing.

Monica Lewinsky

Referenced as an example of someone who experienced being 'poor and famous,' a challenging position according to Morgan Housel.

Robert Moses

An instrumental figure in building modern New York City, also a subject of a Robert Caro biography.

David McCullough

A world-renowned historian, who stated that without the change in winds at the Battle of Long Island, the United States might not exist.

Justine Musk

Elon Musk's first wife, who observed how money and fame altered his personality.

Books
Empty Mansions

A book mentioned as part of a list of interesting reads.

The Great Depression: A Diary

A book by Benjamin Roth, described as the best economics book ever written, documenting the Great Depression and its timeless human reactions.

Die with Zero

A book advocating for giving money to children when they need it most (in their 30s and 40s) rather than as a death inheritance.

The Tao of Charlie Munger

A book compiling Charlie Munger's wisdom, recommended for its succinctness and high wisdom, a positive counterpoint to other 'dark' books.

What We Knew

A book interviewing German civilians during Nazi Germany, highlighting how economic incentives led people to support Hitler despite his downsides.

The 4-Hour Workweek

Tim Ferriss's book, noted for its foundational role in his career and its enduring popularity despite outdated tactical advice.

Same As Ever: A Guide to What Never Changes

Morgan Housel's new book, focusing on human behaviors and principles that remain constant over time.

Tools of Titans

One of Tim Ferriss's bestselling books, continuing to be popular.

The Strange Last Voyage of Donald Crowhurst

A book detailing the tragic story of Donald Crowhurst, an amateur sailor who faked a round-the-world voyage, ultimately leading to his demise.

The Psychology of Money

Morgan Housel's bestselling book, which has sold over 3 million copies and been translated into 53 languages.

Triangle Fire

A historical account of the 1911 Triangle Shirtwaist Factory fire, which catalyzed the worker rights movement in the United States.

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