Key Moments

How Democracies Fail: A Conversation with Anne Applebaum (Episode #376)

Sam HarrisSam Harris
Science & Technology4 min read68 min video
Jul 20, 2024|117,058 views|2,197|1,084
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TL;DR

Authoritarian regimes and democracies face threats from within and without, requiring vigilance and strong institutions.

Key Insights

1

Modern autocracies form a networked bloc with shared interests in wealth and undermining democracy, not a unified ideology.

2

The ideas of liberal democracy, such as individual rights and transparency, are inherently contagious and pose a threat to dictatorships.

3

Western financial systems have inadvertently enabled autocracies by facilitating money laundering and wealth hiding.

4

Democracies don't fall through sudden coups but through a slow decline, characterized by the hollowing out of institutions and erosion of norms.

5

Donald Trump's appeal lies partly in his charismatic, often comical, demeanor, which can obscure his more serious threats to democratic institutions.

6

The rise of political violence, fear of speaking out, and the normalization of pervasive lying are significant symptoms of democratic decay.

THE MODERN AUTOCRATIC NETWORK

Anne Applebaum describes modern autocracies, including Russia, China, and Iran, not as ideologically aligned states but as a network united by common interests. These regimes, despite vastly different political systems, share a strong concern for personal wealth and a desire to protect it using Western financial institutions. Crucially, they recognize the threat posed by the ideas of liberal democracy to their power, leading them to actively seek ways to undermine democratic societies both domestically and abroad through propaganda and other means.

THE CONTAGIOUS POWER OF IDEAS

The conversation highlights the significant power of liberal democratic ideas, such as individual rights, transparency, and the rule of law. These concepts are shown to be spontaneously appealing to people even in non-democratic societies, posing a fundamental threat to autocratic rule. Autocracies, like historical examples from Lenin to Putin, understand this and actively work to discredit liberal democracy in its homelands, fearing its infectious nature will inspire their own populations.

WESTERN ENABLERS OF AUTOCRACY

A significant portion of the discussion focuses on how Western financial systems, experts, and investors have, intentionally or unintentionally, facilitated the rise of autocracies. Through practices like money laundering, shell companies, and tax havens, Western institutions have allowed kleptocratic leaders to accumulate and hide vast wealth. This integration into the global financial system has not only enriched dictators but also created a vested interest in maintaining the status quo, proving that engagement and investment do not automatically lead to democratic reform.

THE SLOW DECLINE OF DEMOCRACIES

Applebaum emphasizes that democracies rarely fail through dramatic coups or revolutions. Instead, their decline is a gradual process of institutional decay. This involves the hollowing out of established norms, the politicization of the judiciary and media, and the erosion of checks and balances. The examples of Hungary, Venezuela, and Russia illustrate how these institutions become weakened to protect corrupt or autocratic leaders, leading to a functional, yet fundamentally compromised, system.

TRUMP'S CHARISMATIC THREAT

Donald Trump's particular brand of charisma is examined as a significant factor in how he is perceived and how he can undermine democratic norms without being taken seriously by opponents. His actions and statements, sometimes framed as jokes or norm violations, obscure a more systematic approach to power that mirrors certain autocratic tendencies. This comedic facade allows him to avoid critical scrutiny when he is, in fact, profoundly self-serving and potentially corrosive to democratic functions.

SYMPTOMS OF AMERICAN DEMOCRATIC DECLINE

The conversation identifies several worrying symptoms of democratic decline in the United States, including the normalization of pervasive lying, the rise of political violence and intimidation, and the fear individuals feel when expressing dissenting opinions. This atmosphere, amplified by social media and the cult-like devotion to figures like Trump, weakens institutions and fosters cynicism, creating conditions ripe for further autocratic encroachment and a loss of faith in democratic processes.

THE DANGERS OF INSTITUTIONAL WEAKNESS

Applebaum expresses concern that individuals around Trump hold more ideological views on how to alter the American state, aiming to replace expertise with loyalty and use government institutions for partisan ends. This includes the potential misuse of agencies like the Department of Justice or regulatory bodies to target political enemies. When institutions that should remain neutral become partisan tools, they cease to function as intended, leading to bad governance and a chilling effect on dissent.

THE ROLE OF EXTERNAL INFLUENCE AND INTERNAL COMPLACENCY

The discussion touches upon external influences, such as Russian disinformation campaigns and the narratives pushed by figures like David Sachs, which aim to undermine support for democratic allies like Ukraine. This external pressure is compounded by internal complacency and a misinterpretation of democratic principles, where a belief in inherent strength leads to an underestimation of the constant maintenance required for democratic health. The failure to recognize the value of alliances and democratic ideals makes societies more vulnerable.

Navigating Autocracy and Democratic Decline

Practical takeaways from this episode

Do This

Recognize that democracies require maintenance and can fail.
Understand the modern autocratic network as a pragmatic alliance, not ideological.
Be aware of how Western financial systems have enabled autocracies.
Recognize the contagious power of liberal democratic ideas, even in autocratic states.
Support democratic movements and hold autocracies accountable.
See Ukraine's struggle as a defense of the global rules-based order.
Guard against the hollowing out of democratic institutions.
Be vigilant against the use of government institutions for partisan ends.
Acknowledge the danger of leaders prioritizing personal gain over national well-being.
Resist the normalization of lies and cynicism in politics.

Avoid This

Take democratic norms and institutions for granted.
Fail to see the common interests and financial motivations of modern autocracies.
Underestimate the threat posed by the spread of autocratic ideologies.
Ignore the role of Western financial experts and institutions in enabling dictatorships.
Dismiss concerns about the erosion of democratic norms as mere political theater.
Believe that democracies cannot fail or decline.
Be swayed by simplified or false narratives about international conflicts.
Allow government institutions to be used as partisan tools.
Tolerate leaders who display authoritarian tendencies or disregard the rule of law.
Become apathetic or cynical due to political discourse full of lies.

Common Questions

Anne Applebaum describes modern autocracies not as ideological blocs but as a network of dictatorships (like Russia, China, and Iran) that share common interests. A primary interest is protecting their wealth and using Western financial institutions to do so. They also seek to undermine liberal democracy and discredit it in its home countries.

Topics

Mentioned in this video

People
JD Vance

Mentioned as a potential vice presidential pick for Trump, known for his stance on not caring about Ukraine.

David Sachs

Venture capitalist and podcaster whose talking points about the Ukraine war are critiqued.

Renee DiResta

A guest on Sam Harris's show who was investigated by Jim Jordan's committee regarding censorship claims.

Steven Ruyter

A Maricopa County election official who faced threats and harassment after certifying the 2020 election results.

Kevin Roberts

Head of the Heritage Foundation, associated with talk of a 'revolution' and replacing expertise with loyalists.

Sam Harris

Host of the Making Sense podcast. He is interviewing Anne Applebaum about autocracy and its impact on democracy.

Anne Applebaum

Author and journalist, formerly a columnist for the Washington Post and now a staff writer at The Atlantic. Her newest book is 'Autocracy Inc.'

Sergey Lavrov

Russian Foreign Minister quoted as saying the conflict in Ukraine is a battle over the future of the world order.

Elon Musk

Mentioned in connection with David Sachs and his financial support for the Trump campaign, and his past conversations with Putin. His business interests in Russia are speculated upon.

John Locke

Philosopher whose ideas on rights are implicitly compared to the instinctive demand for rights by people living under dictatorship.

Jim Jordan

A prominent Republican congressman whose committee's use of government institutions for political performances is criticized.

Mitt Romney

Republican politician who, along with Liz Cheney, noted that some members of Congress feared for their lives regarding impeachment votes against Trump.

Steve Bannon

Mentioned as a figure at a high level of the Trump movement, though the speaker expresses uncertainty about his current influence.

Eileen Cannon

A judge in Florida whose handling of the Trump documents case is criticized as partisan and a symptom of institutional decline.

Xi Jinping

Leader of China, admired by Trump, which raises concerns for those advocating for a tougher stance against China.

Liz Cheney

Republican politician who, along with Mitt Romney, noted that some members of Congress feared for their lives regarding impeachment votes against Trump.

Joe Biden

Current US President, mentioned regarding his debate with Trump and the accusations Trump made about Democrats' abortion stances.

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