Philip Tetlock
A researcher at the University of Pennsylvania known for his work on forecasting tournaments and the concept of 'super forecasters'.
Videos Mentioning Philip Tetlock
World Leading Mindset Expert: How To Reach Your Full Potential - Matthew Syed | E84
The Diary Of A CEO
American psychologist who studied forecasters, finding that high-reputation forecasters often make the worst predictions due to ego getting in the way of adapting their models.
Tyler Cowen on Rationality, COVID-19, Talismans, and Life on the Margins | The Tim Ferriss Show
Tim Ferriss
An expert on prediction and superforecasters, who Tyler Cowen plans to interview for his podcast, requiring him to focus on these topics.
Michael Mauboussin — How Great Investors Make Decisions | The Tim Ferriss Podcast
Tim Ferriss
A researcher at the University of Pennsylvania known for his work on forecasting tournaments and the concept of 'super forecasters'.
#60 – Annie Duke: How to improve decision making, learning, & apply ‘backcasting’ for future success
Peter Attia MD
Author of 'Superforecasting', whose confidence interval game is used to illustrate challenges in probabilistic thinking.