Key Moments

E159: The Bestie Awards! Recapping the best and worst of 2023

All-In PodcastAll-In Podcast
People & Blogs3 min read83 min video
Dec 29, 2023|265,742 views|5,903|567
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TL;DR

All-In Podcast hosts recap 2023's best and worst in politics, business, tech, and culture.

Key Insights

1

Donald Trump emerged as a significant political winner, while the DEI movement faced considerable backlash.

2

Abortion rights were a key political winning issue for Democrats, countering expectations post-Roe v. Wade.

3

Elon Musk was recognized as the biggest business winner for his work across Twitter, SpaceX, and Tesla.

4

Disney was cited as the biggest business loser due to a string of underperforming releases and strategic missteps.

5

The resurgence of major tech companies like Meta and NVIDIA, powered by AI, was a significant business surprise.

6

Gene editing breakthroughs (CRISPR for sickle cell) and AI advancements dominated science and tech discussions.

POLITICAL WINNERS AND LOSERS

The "Bestie Awards" kicked off with political categories, naming Donald Trump the biggest political winner. His legal battles and the Colorado Supreme Court's decision were seen as galvanizing his support and solidifying his path to the Republican nomination. Conversely, the DEI movement was declared the biggest political loser, heavily impacted by the post-October 7th backlash and the public stumbles of university leaders. Saudi Arabia was also highlighted as a significant political winner for its global leverage. Abortion rights were identified as a key winning issue for Democrats, performing well in referendums and state elections.

BUSINESS HEADLINERS: WINNERS AND LOSERS

In the business realm, Elon Musk was crowned the biggest winner, lauded for the strategic reorientation of Twitter (X), SpaceX's advancements, and Tesla's consolidation of EV leadership. The 'Magnificent Seven' collectively dominated stock market gains, with Microsoft specifically praised for adding a trillion dollars in market cap through consumer and enterprise strength, and strategic moves like the Activision acquisition. Conversely, Disney was named the biggest business loser, suffering from theatrical flops, backlash against perceived 'woke' stances, declining streaming subscriptions, and costly theme park experiences. The 'go woke, go broke' sentiment was attributed to companies like Bud Light and Target as well.

TECHNOLOGY AND SCIENCE BREAKTHROUGHS

The year's biggest science breakthrough was the FDA approval of CRISPR gene editing for sickle cell anemia, a significant advancement for hereditary diseases. In technology, ChatGPT's app, enhanced with GPT-4 and DALL-E, was celebrated for its revolutionary capabilities, including voice chat integration. Starlink for private aviation was also mentioned as a game-changer. Open-source, locally-run LLMs were highlighted as crucial for maintaining AI development amidst regulatory concerns, emphasizing the importance of technology that supports an 'enlightenment' rather than 'dark ages' trajectory.

SURPRISES AND FLASHES IN THE PAN

The Hamas attack on Israel was a major political surprise, shifting the Middle Eastern paradigm dramatically, contrasting with earlier assessments of regional quiet. The rise of third-party candidates, notably Robert F. Kennedy Jr., was also a significant political surprise, suggesting a growing fragmentation in the American electorate. Business surprises included the Federal Reserve's Bank Term Funding Program, which potentially averted a broader banking crisis, and Meta's remarkable resurgence after a period of heavy VR investment. For 'flashes in the pan,' Sam Bankman-Fried and the effective altruism movement faced significant scrutiny, alongside the brief but ultimately unproven excitement around the LK-99 superconductor material.

TRENDS: THE GOOD, THE BAD, AND THE UGLY

The best trend identified was the pushback against DEI initiatives and the return of colorblindness and meritocracy, reinforced by the Supreme Court's affirmative action ban and state-level actions. The normalization of government spending and the metastasizing national debt were cited as the worst trends, a bipartisan issue exacerbating fiscal concerns. Anti-Semitism was unequivocally condemned as a deeply disturbing trend. The struggles of young adults, indicated by rising death rates and declining marriage rates, were also highlighted as a critical societal concern requiring attention.

LEADERSHIP AND MEDIA RECOGNITION

Taylor Swift was lauded as the best CEO for her monumental Eras Tour's economic impact and direct-to-cinema approach. Satya Nadella of Microsoft and Jensen Huang of NVIDIA were also recognized for their leadership in driving massive market cap growth and AI advancements, respectively. Sam Altman's dramatic return to OpenAI after being ousted earned him recognition for his resilience and influence. In media, 'Succession' finale and 'The Bear' season two were favorites. The self-immolation award went to former UPenn President Liz McGill for her handling of anti-Semitism issues, and to Rudy Giuliani for his legal and reputational troubles.

Common Questions

Donald Trump and Saudi Arabia were highlighted as significant political winners. The biggest political loser was debated, with the DEI movement and Vladimir Zelensky being strong contenders. Some also argued the 'American People' were the biggest losers due to a potential Biden-Trump rematch.

Topics

Mentioned in this video

Companies
Disney

Named a biggest business loser as its theatrical releases, social stances, Marvel franchise, Disney+ subscriptions, and theme park attendance all faltered in 2023. Bob Iger's conflict with Elon Musk and subscriber cancellations are also cited.

Meta

Considered a business surprise due to its resurgence after pouring billions into VR. Mark Zuckerberg's layoffs, focus on existing businesses, and progress in AI led to a stock recovery, shifting from a low of $90.

Magnificent Seven

The seven companies that accounted for almost all of the stock market gains in 2023, showing a significant performance gap compared to the other 493 companies in the S&P 500.

Microsoft

Awarded as a biggest business winner for its market cap growth of over a trillion dollars in 2023, consumer and enterprise strength, successful acquisition of Activision, and leadership during the OpenAI weekend.

Uber

Recognized as a business turnaround and success story, entering the S&P 500, becoming profitable, planning stock buybacks, and resolving regulatory issues. It's highlighted as the most successful new startup in the recent cycle.

Venture Capital Firms

Identified as the biggest business loser for deploying capital in 2021, with predictions that this vintage will underperform and potentially torpedo up to 50% of firms, significantly reducing future allocations to venture capital.

TikTok

Its growth is seen as extraordinary by one panelist, with an investment still in place despite CCP scrutiny and potential divestment threats from Trump and Biden. Sources indicate the investment could be worth hundreds of billions.

Novo Nordisk

Awarded Best Turnaround for sustained focus and investment over a decade, leading to significant stock growth (4-5x in four years) driven by semaglutide drugs like Ozempic and Wegovy, which are considered transformational.

Mudan Foodstuff

Described as 'pure evil' and the worst company of 2023. As the world's largest slaughterer of pigs in China, it houses pigs in cramped, dark conditions, leading to painful lives and slaughter.

Concepts
Go Woke Community

Considered the biggest business loser for attempting to use social movements to drive revenue, leading to backlash from consumers who prefer companies to focus on products and pricing.

CRISPR

The FDA-approved CRISPR treatment for sickle cell anemia is highlighted as a significant, under-recognized science breakthrough of 2023, offering gene edits to fix the condition disproportionately affecting the Black population.

Brain Decoder Technology

A breakthrough technology discussed for its ability to use fMRI scans and language models to narrow down what people are thinking by tracking brain activity while they listen to podcasts or simply think.

Effective Altruism

The movement, significantly damaged by Sam Bankman-Fried's downfall and the OpenAI board debacle involving effective altruists, is considered a flash in the pan and likely facing its end.

Abortion Rights

Declared the biggest political winner of 2023, as they have been winning referenda in red states and influencing legislative and court races in swing states. It's considered the Democrats' only winning issue.

Dei Movement

Awarded as the biggest political loser of 2023, particularly after October 7th. University leaders' defense of free speech rules around anti-semitic protests brought negative attention to the movement and its linkage to anti-Semitism.

State of Young People

The general struggle of young people (20s and 30s) is identified as a worst trend, evidenced by increased death rates and declining marriage rates. Mental health issues are acute, with a significant rise in suicide in the Western world.

Normalization of Spending

Considered the worst trend, as government spending has become normalized, moving from large single items like the TAR program to trillions, a trend exacerbated by COVID-related spending and a gradual acceptance of increased expenditures.

Solana

Considered a turnaround in the crypto markets, beginning the year at $9 and reaching $92, a 10x increase. Those holding the token are noted as happy campers.

Elon Musk's "GFY" Response

His response to Bob Iger's attempt to blackmail him is identified as the meme of the year, characterized by specific hand gestures.

Color Blindness Standard

The return of color blindness as the standard and the pushback against DEI is highlighted as the best trend of 2023. This includes the Supreme Court banning race-based affirmative action and red states shutting down DEI programs.

Profitability Focus in Young Companies

A key trend in 2023, particularly with AI co-pilot tools enabling single individuals to achieve what previously took teams. This accelerates software development and lowers costs for creating customized software and entrepreneurial ventures.

Anti-Semitism

Identified as the worst trend of 2023, described as disgusting and horrible, contributing to societal division.

National Debt

The metastasizing national debt is considered the worst trend, showing an upside-down hockey stick growth pattern due to bipartisan spending issues over the last 20+ years, significantly exacerbated under recent administrations.

People
Sam Altman

His ouster and return at OpenAI in a single weekend was a significant business surprise and turnaround. He was also named CEO of the Year for generating immense attention, raising capital, finding talent, and pushing boundaries.

Sam Bankman-Fried

Labeled a flash in the pan for 2023, transitioning from a seemingly altruistic figure to an Adderall-addicted grifter, significantly impacting the Effective Altruism movement.

Donald Trump

Assessed as the biggest political winner of 2023, with his leadership galvanized by the documents case and the Colorado Supreme Court's decision potentially sealing his Republican nomination. His popularity and fundraising ability are seen as increased due to Democratic actions.

Nikki Haley

Mentioned as a non-traditional candidate who achieved a feat by getting close to Trump in some primaries, making her a potential winner in 2023.

Ron DeSantis

Mentioned as a political figure who, along with Nikki Haley and RFK Jr., represented non-traditional candidates capturing young people's imaginations and becoming somewhat viable in 2023.

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Identified as a significant political surprise of 2023 for dropping out of the Democratic party, running as an independent, and polling as a leading 2024 candidate. His potential to gather support among centrists and impact the election discouraging Biden is discussed.

Vladimir Zelensky

Named the biggest political loser of 2023, citing a shift from Time Magazine's person of the year to a narrative of delusion and suicide missions. His decision not to pursue peace in April 2022, influenced by Western advice, is seen as a gambled disaster.

Elon Musk

Named the biggest business winner of 2023 for his work with Tesla, SpaceX (Starlink and Starship), and the 'rebasing' of Twitter, which had a profound impact on Silicon Valley. Tesla is noted for consolidating leadership in EVs and battery technology.

George Santos

Described as a 'diva drama queen' congressman, his election campaign funds were allegedly used for clothing and Botox. He was mentioned as a wildcard flash in the pan of 2023.

Taylor Swift

Awarded Best CEO of 2023 for generating $4 billion in revenue from her tour, merchandise, and concert movie, earning $90 million per stop and making a quarter billion directly with movie theaters.

Satya (Nadella)

CEO of Microsoft, recognized for adding gross tonnage of market cap dollars, closing the Activision acquisition, and retaining optionality with OpenAI, demonstrating masterful management.

Jensen Huang

CEO of NVIDIA, recognized for leading the company's stock rise of 235% and exceeding earnings forecasts, having planned for the AI boom years in advance.

Bill Ackman

Cited as the best investor for perfectly timing the bond market, shorting bonds for most of the year and then covering his positions on October 23rd, the day of the 10-year bond yield high. He is also noted for using his profits to challenge Ivy League presidents on 'woke' issues.

Liz McGill

The former president of the University of Pennsylvania, named for the 'self-immolation award' due to her 'toned deaf' and legalistic response to a moral question about genocide during a Congressional hearing, and her subsequent step-down.

Rudy Giuliani

Named the namesake of the 'self-immolation award' due to a $150 million judgment against him for slander and potential indictment for fake electorates. While his actions are not defended, the judgment itself is considered excessive.

Kanye West

Mentioned as having 'lit himself on fire' in 2023 due to the Adidas contract cancellation and his anti-Semitism, leading to his removal from Twitter (X).

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