Key Moments
AI, Data Centers, and the Infrastructure Needed to Power Them | a16z
Key Moments
The US electrical grid is breaking due to delivery bottlenecks, not generation; AI and industrialization demand massive new power, requiring a "re-civilization" of energy infrastructure with modular nuclear reactors and solid-state power electronics.
Key Insights
Between the 1970s and 2010s, energy efficiency gains in the US negated growth in energy services, keeping net electricity consumption flat.
By July 4th, 2026, several companies are expected to have new nuclear reactor designs go critical, marking a significant step towards advanced nuclear technology.
Radiant is targeting one portable, megawatt-scale nuclear reactor per week coming off a production line in Tennessee within the next year.
Heron's first product, Heron Link, is a 5-megawatt solid-state transformer capable of converting 800-1500V DC to 34,000V AC, targeting the subtransmission voltage for data centers and battery plants.
Data centers, by consuming near maximum power almost all the time, increase grid utilization, which should theoretically drive down electricity costs for all consumers.
The US saw one of the highest power additions to the grid last year, and this year is set to be even higher, indicating generation is not the problem; delivery is.
The grid is broken, and delivery systems are the bottleneck
The United States' electrical grid is facing a critical juncture, not due to a lack of power generation, but because of severe bottlenecks in its delivery infrastructure. For decades, advancements in energy efficiency across industries, lighting, and appliances largely offset the growth in energy services, leading to stagnated net electricity delivered. However, this trend is reversing with the unprecedented demand from AI, industrialization, and economic growth. Doug Bernauer, CEO of Radiant, and Drew Baglino, CEO of Heron, emphasize that the existing grid, a complex organic machine, is antiquated and unable to scale for future needs. The "delivery" of power, not its "generation," is identified as the primary challenge, with ongoing efforts to rebuild and modernize this essential infrastructure.
Modular nuclear reactors offer off-grid power solutions
Doug Bernauer discusses his company, Radiant, which is focused on mass-producing portable micro nuclear reactors. Inspired by his work on Mars colony design at SpaceX, which highlighted the need for megawatts of power, Bernauer realized the limitations of solar for such applications and turned to nuclear. Radiant aims to deliver megawatt-scale reactors on trailers that can be deployed within 48 hours, providing a five-year power supply equivalent to 2 million gallons of diesel. This approach is designed for off-grid applications, catering to critical needs at military bases, hospitals, or disaster relief sites. Bernauer highlights the ambition for "one reactor per week coming off a production line" from their Tennessee facility, positioning nuclear power as a viable, portable product for the first time. He also touches on utilizing the inherent energy of uranium, which is diminishing over geological time, framing it as a resource to be harnessed rather than left to decay into less benign forms.
Solid-state transformers bridge the gap to a modernized grid
Drew Baglino explains Heron's mission to accelerate electrification through innovative power electronics, specifically focusing on solid-state transformers. Their first product, Heron Link, is a 5-megawatt bidirectional solid-state transformer that converts high-voltage DC (800-1500V) to 34,000-volt AC, which is the subtransmission voltage used by data centers and large renewable energy plants. Baglino likens the transformation to a smartphone charger's power brick, which became significantly smaller and more efficient over time due to advancements in power semiconductors and high-frequency switching. Heron aims to apply this miniaturization and efficiency gain to industrial-scale electronics, creating modular, fail-operational power building blocks. This technology is crucial for enabling a more flexible, resilient, and decentralized grid, moving away from the century-old AC infrastructure that is difficult to adapt to dynamic, modern energy demands.
Re-industrialization and AI demand a complete energy infrastructure overhaul
The current surge in energy demand is structurally different from previous eras. Driven by AI, re-industrialization, and defense needs, the demand is broad-based and growing rapidly, outpacing the benefits of past energy efficiency gains. Bernauer and Baglino see this as a pivotal moment, forcing a "re-civilization" of how power is generated and delivered. The reliance on a top-down, centralized grid developed over 50 years is proving insufficient. Their companies' technologies—portable nuclear reactors and advanced solid-state transformers—are designed to create a more software-defined, resilient, and decentralized energy network, capable of supporting these new, high-demand applications both on and off the grid.
The evolving landscape of nuclear power and its challenges
Bernauer acknowledges that the “nuclear industry” as it’s traditionally known is still nascent, likening the current excitement to the pre-Kitty Hawk era of flight. He notes that by July 4th, 2026, several new nuclear reactor designs are expected to reach criticality. Radiant is on schedule to have a full-scale reactor at full power by then and is the only permitted reactor among new designs to achieve this. Key challenges remain, including the development of new high-strength materials for high temperatures and thermal gradients, and the need for a centralized waste storage facility. Bernauer contrasts Radiant's approach—a compact reactor capable of dry cask storage for decades on a small site—with the struggles faced by larger nuclear plants in finding permanent waste repositories.
Modular manufacturing and efficiency drive down costs
Both Radiant and Heron emphasize the importance of manufacturability and modularity, lessons learned from their time at SpaceX and Tesla. Bernauer highlights the move towards mass production of nuclear reactors as products, moving away from traditional large, site-built projects. Radiant is building a 40-gigawatt annual capacity factory, which is roughly 10-15% of the market for their product category, aiming for high automation for quality and cost benefits. Similarly, Heron is developing a modular architecture for its solid-state transformers, with their 5MW Heron Link containing 36 65kW modules. This approach simplifies logistics, speeds up installation, reduces permitting complexity, and lowers overall costs compared to traditional, on-site construction methods.
Data centers: A catalyst for grid modernization and efficiency
The impact of data centers on the grid is a subject of debate. While large data centers can strain grid stability, Bernauer argues they are ultimately beneficial. He points out that data centers are ideal customers due to their consistent, high-power consumption, which increases grid utilization. This, in turn, can lower the cost of electricity for everyone by spreading fixed maintenance costs over more delivered kilowatt-hours. Modernizing data center power systems with software-defined controls and energy storage can even allow them to stabilize the grid rather than destabilize it, addressing issues like blackouts that have occurred in regions like Virginia. The growth in data centers, alongside other steady loads like factories, enhances grid efficiency and affordability.
Supply chain resilience for the future of power electronics and nuclear
The conversation touches upon the critical importance of supply chain resilience for both power electronics and nuclear technologies. For Heron, key components like ferrites and thin-film capacitors are largely sourced from Asia, prompting efforts to nearshore or onshore these supply chains. While materials like silicon carbide suppliers are US-based, others require strategic focus. For Radiant, access to competitive nuclear fuel and enrichment markets, along with a robust waste storage solution, are crucial for the flourishing of the nuclear sector. Both founders recognize that securing these foundational elements is as vital as technological innovation itself for enabling the widespread adoption of new energy solutions.
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Common Questions
The grid is facing delivery bottlenecks due to decades of underinvestment and a lack of technological innovation in transmission and distribution lines. This creates challenges in meeting the rapidly growing demand for electricity, especially from data centers and industrialization.
Topics
Mentioned in this video
Doug Bernau's former employer, where he worked on early rockets (Falcon 9, Grasshopper) and Elon Musk's ambitious projects like Hyperloop and Mars colony design. The company's mission-driven culture and rapid development were highlighted.
Drew Begley's former employer, where he worked for nearly two decades. The company's progress in electrifying transportation and its role in developing affordable EVs and renewable energy storage were discussed.
Doug Bernau's company focused on developing mass-producible, portable micro nuclear reactors for various applications, including off-grid power solutions.
An ambitious project initiated by Elon Musk involving high-speed travel in vacuum tubes, which Doug Bernau and Drew Begley were involved in. It required significant power solutions, contributing to the discussion on energy needs.
A semiconductor material used in high-frequency switching devices for power electronics, enabling smaller, more efficient power conversion, as seen in smartphone chargers and advanced transformers.
The planned manufacturing capacity of Drew Begley's company, representing a significant scale for producing power electronics and aiming for capital efficiency through automation.
The category of nuclear reactors that includes Radiant's 1-megawatt micro-reactors, contrasted with larger 100-megawatt SMR designs. The term 'micronuclear' is proposed as a more fitting description for the smaller scale.
Mentioned in the context of the early formation of the planet and the abundance of uranium 235 at that time, as a comparison to its current reduced quantity and the rationale for using it now.
Unit of power representing a thousand megawatts, used to describe the scale of new data centers and the total power capacity of the US grid.
Unit of power representing a thousand gigawatts, used to contextualize the scale of power semiconductor usage in electric vehicles and the overall US grid peak power.
'Not In My Backyard,' a common attitude towards new infrastructure projects, particularly nuclear facilities. The speakers discuss the need to transition from 'NIMBY' to 'Nuclear In My Backyard' for broader acceptance and deployment.
Mentioned in the context of needing specific motor components for the Hyperloop project, highlighting the power and performance requirements for ambitious engineering endeavors.
The spacecraft designed for Mars colonization, which necessitates megawatts of power for fuel generation from Martian resources, leading Doug Bernau to explore nuclear power solutions.
Drew Begley's company's first product, a 5-megawatt bidirectional solid-state transformer that converts DC power to high-voltage AC, designed for data centers, large battery plants, and solar facilities.
A material used in power semiconductors, particularly for high-efficiency power electronics. The fact that Heron Link's primary supplier uses this technology developed in the US is seen as a positive aspect of their supply chain.
A large-scale battery storage product from Tesla, mentioned as an example of modular, easily deployable energy solutions that minimize on-site disturbance and ease technology transition.
A critical component in power electronics, with supply chains largely based in Asia. Efforts are underway to bring manufacturing closer to the US, focusing on polymers and thin conductors.
The scaling of supply chains to support EV growth is seen as a positive precedent that can be leveraged for new energy infrastructure. The slowing growth of EVs allows for this momentum to be redirected.
Another venture involving Doug Bernau and Elon Musk, which explored powering tunnel boring machines with large battery packs, further emphasizing the need for substantial power solutions.
Mentioned as a leading university that performed well in the Hyperloop student competitions, highlighting its strong engineering programs.
Recognized for its exceptional engineering talent and strong performance in Hyperloop student competitions, contributing to the innovation in transportation technology.
A facility in New Mexico that stores defense nuclear waste in a salt dome, serving as an example of a centralized repository, in contrast to the current challenges in building one for commercial nuclear waste.
The venture capital firm hosting the discussion, whose energy investment thesis focuses on decentralization, resiliency, and software-defined infrastructure for the power grid.
Department of Energy, mentioned in the context of the government's struggle to build a repository for large nuclear plant waste, contrasting with the relative ease of building the WIPP facility.
The location of Radiant's future 80-acre site for fuel handling and reactor assembly, emphasizing its role in scaling up nuclear reactor production.
Location of the Waste Isolation Pilot Plant (WIPP), a key example of a functioning centralized repository for nuclear waste.
Mentioned in the context of nuclear waste storage challenges, where coastal regions with risks like tsunamis are used for on-site storage, advocating for safer, centralized repositories in more stable geological locations.
Cited as an example of a region with very high diesel fuel costs ($10/gallon average), illustrating the economic advantage for nuclear micro-reactors in high-cost energy markets.
Mentioned as another region with high diesel costs ($7-9/gallon), serving as an example of where micro-reactor solutions could be economically viable.
Grouped with Northern Europe as regions with high diesel costs, indicating potential markets for micro-reactor technology.
Mentioned as regions with high diesel costs, highlighting a potential market for micro-reactor technology due to the high cost of diesel fuel.
The location of a potential nearby ferret manufacturing facility that could be brought back to the US, helping to onshore critical supply chains for power electronics.
Identified as the primary location for the world's largest ferret companies and a major supplier of thin film capacitors, highlighting global supply chain dependencies for power electronics.
Another location cited where data center issues have affected the grid, reinforcing the need for improved grid interaction and stability solutions.
Cited as an example of a place with high electricity costs (80% diesel-powered), suggesting an opportunity for cleaner, more cost-effective power solutions like micro-reactors.
Mentioned as having similar distribution voltages to the US, indicating that Heron Link's solid-state transformers are applicable globally.
Mentioned as a location where significant data center loads (2 GW) recently turned off instantly from the grid, illustrating the challenge of large data centers impacting grid stability.
Mentioned as another extraterrestrial location where establishing power infrastructure would set precedents for technology choices, particularly regarding DC vs. AC and the efficiency of power systems.
Referred to as a potential future location for power distribution technologies, where efficiency, mass, and avoiding oil-based systems are critical considerations for establishing power infrastructure.
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